Sunday, 11 November 2012

Presenting the Problem of Food Security




In this era of tightening world food supplies, the ability to grow food is fast becoming a new form of geopolitical leverage. Food is the new oil. Land is the new gold.” – Lester R. Brown, author of a new book :Full Planet, Empty Plates: The New Geopolitics of Food Scarcity

My past posts have touched on the agricultural impacts   in environmental degradation and health/nutritional problem.  Brown goes even further to exert that 'food is now the weakest link of human civilization'.  I haven’t read his new book, but from this video and an article published by the man himself , he does present a convincing case that food looks to be an important challenge of the future. While I'm sure many would disagree or view with scepticism his catastrophic doomsday predictions, if he has gotten his facts right about the number households going below the "minimum threshold" and preparing for foodless days as a norm, and this really does warrant for greater action.  Whether you would agree if this is the most important environmental problem or not, one thing is for sure: any solution has to take into account (especially light of climate uncertainty and the social trends (population boom and diet shifts)) that any environmental solution that touches on both 1) production/food security and 2) environmental sustainability. Foley et al (2011)
explains that in the past, systems and movements have addressed one or the other but not both. With a new insight gained on the different types of problems ahead of us, any viable solution cannot, as far as possible,  ignore both issues or bring the two into conflict (i.e. it cannot be a zero-sum game!)

Stay tuned for the next post in which I will try to lay out some principles by which we could evaluate practical alternatives for the future :)

Tuesday, 6 November 2012

The "anti-synthetics" movement of Organic agriculture: Desirable or just plain irresponsible?


What is the Organic Movement?

"Only what's Natural"
The Organic Movement was mandated through the creation of legal standards for “organic food” by the USDA in 1990. Organic farming constitutes agricultural processes that reject anything synthetic: pesticides, fertilizers, GMOs etc.

Beginnings
The Organic Movement was born out of a vitalist movement where crops were nurtured by products of other living things only. In the US, the Organic Consumers Association (OCA) was also formed with the objective of boycotting large "factory farms", as seen by the setting up of the Cornucopia Institute 



So, why do people go Organic? Here I evaluate Organic Farming in 2 areas: Health & Environment.

We don't know for sure if organic foods are healthier
A recentmeta-analysis (synthesis of original research) carried out in Stanford showed  that going organic did indeed lessen (-30%) pesticide & antibiotic-resistant bacteria exposure. However the researchers concluded that there is little known about the clinical significance of this. What they could show clearly was that there was no significant difference in nutrient levels between conventional and organic foods. Other naysayers also remind us that organic farming can still use natural chemicals which might be toxic at levels (e.g. copper used for wine) used are actually used in organic farming and are not tested for. The researchers at Stanford concluded that health was not a sure basis to go organic. However, other researchers  point out  that while there doesn't seem to be obvious macronutrient nutritional differences,  the jury is still out on the overall health benefit, and as it would be premature to discount the possible harm of pesticide exposure because no long term decadal long studies have been carried out. In my opinion, the reduction of pesticide exposure might hold some weight especially in the light of the high prevalence of lifestyle diseases of today like cancer (i.e. though toxicology tests have shown that levels are of reasonable concern, the issue lies with the validity of these toxicological standards over long-term exposure, especially without long-term human studies carried out.

There are other instances of health benefit to consumers. Even if these synthetics are largely in non-toxic quantities on vegetables/crops, these can accumulate to undesirable amounts up the food chain because of their effect on non-target organisms. For example, Asia's fields have been known to be contaminated by pesticides which are subsequently ingested by paddy-field crabs & fish which are important food sources for locals.  There is much evidence to show this accumulation, however, they are at not currently known to be at toxic levels (Chen et al, 1984)

While not so much a concern now, the horrors of instances like the DDT episode (a widely used pesticide that was thought to be relatively harmless but now viewed as undesirable because of its long-term persistence which has shown evidence of carcinogenic effects in the long-term) still lingers at the mind of many who advocate going organic.

The Health of Farmers
The prolific (and especially excessive) use of pesticides does however pose a more direct harm to farmers. This is especially for farmers in less developed countries where protection gear cannot be afforded and safety rules are not well implemented.

Is there an environmental basis for going organic?

 "Living in harmony with nature" is yet another phrase that goes along the tune of the movement. Organic agriculture does benefit the environment in numerous ways, including reduced pollution. There is a smaller impact on connected & adjacent ecosystems as there isn't as much nutrient runoff that pollutes water bodies and causes potentially irreversible and undesirable changes (see previous post on such problems). With organic agriculture, there also isn't long-term undesirable effects on non-target organisms such as predators of pests. Hence, while the level of toxicity may be low enough for humans to tolerate but lethal to other beneficial organisms not only play directly useful roles but are important in the integrity of ecosystems through competitive/predatory effects through the foodweb. In the third world, high yielding-varieties (brought about by the green revolution) require 10-20 times the previous annual rate of pesticide application resulting in the doubling of pest-resistance within 10 years from introduction.

So it seems clear to me that conventional agriculture isn't a very sustainable way of pest-control/ crop-maximization as there is a high possibility that more lethal and higher concentrations of pesticides will be required (versus lower, more acceptable concentrations now). The use of such synthetic pesticides doesn't seem to be an ecologically sound/sustainable principle and as Joel Salatin (a farmer made famous for the impressive economic viability of his farming methods by producing very high yields with holistic and ecologically-aware methods and without synthetic products) puts it: it's basically like a "drug trip".

Biodiversity of crops
Some say that modern agriculture is the largest-scale (and to some non-consented) experiment on the health of our bodies and the environment. So it would be interesting to take a look at the Experiments of  Rothamsted, the longest-running (from~ 1850s) experiments carried out since the advent of synthetics (and coincidentally started by Lawes, the person who commercialized them). Rothamsted consists of plots of grass, wheat & turnips with all kinds of treatments & controls whose conditions have been maintained over the centuries.
It is interesting to note that the change in crop reactions over the years. Initially, synthetic N & P increased yields, but later on, inorganic N led to low biodiversity (2-3 VS 50 species) of various plants (E.g. grass, herbs). Back then, the environmental problems of pollution weren't apparent and monocrops were seen as the way to go as farmers could 'specialize' in a crop and produce it it bulk. (I will explore more on biodiversity in the future…)

Still, it must be noted that environmental protection was not the original interest of its pioneers, and today it may not either. "How is this so?" You may ask, given the organic movement going all 'natural'. Let's simplify things and consider what will happen if the majority of us were to go organic…

Firstly, as I mentioned previously, the global environmental problems we face today aren't isolated to just the concerns of nitrogen use or pest resistance. Instead, agriculture also taps into the areas of transport (leading to green gas emissions) and ecosystem degradation.

  1. Transport & GHGs
4.4 billion tons of manure would be needed to fulfil the effects of 65 million of chemical nitrogen. What this entails is higher number of livestock, grain feed & transportation.
  1. Landuse
Organic farming is a less efficient way  (60-70% yields of conventional farming)  of farming. More land is needed to yield the same biomass and more land is needed for livestock to produce manure, this would mean a requiring a much higher % of global land being dedicated to agriculture. To put it into perspective, "if Europe tried to feed itself organically, it would need an additional 28 million hectares of cropland, equal to all the remaining forest cover of France, Germany, Denmark, and Britain combined" 1  The distressing implications of this are: increased deforestation (ecosystem services) and destruction of wildlife habitats (biodiversity). In addition, the strict prohibition of synthetic N also means the degradation of now viable cropland in the future- because of the high demands on crop yields, it is said that soil health needs to be maintained not only by good practices (manure and crop rotation) but also with the addition of some amount of synthetic nitrogen/fertilizers to restore the soil.  The rejection of such fertilizers means that organic farming has two consequences:
Firstly, this means that many soils might become depleted of their nutrients and farmers have to abandon ship and move on, clearing even more land (as seen in Africa due to a lack of nitrogen use (but not in the context of organic agriculture)).
Secondly, highly reliant on tillage of the soil (i.e.  also does not allow the use of no-till practices which are increasingly seen as favourable to the environment as it prevents soil erosion and reduces GHGs by increasing Carbon sequestration in the soil and reduces the need for machinery (equating to diesel-use).


The Unique Situation of Today: Population Boom

It seems that modern agriculture is in much better stead to cope with today's challenges than organic agriculture. This is because we have to tailor to a pressing need of a burgeoning population. This is probably the strongest argument going for those who oppose organic farming and they call it purely unrealistic and irresponsible. In his book "Bountiful Harvest: Technology, Food Safety and the Environment", Degregori argues that with the ever increasing number of mouths to feed, what is responsible is to maximize productivity through: 1) crop protection against other organisms and 2) soil nutrient renewal- this is what is sustainable for the sustenance of human life. In conventional agriculture, this takes the form of 1) synthetic pesticides, disease resistance (GMOs), and 2) synthetic fertilizers.


Personally…
From a personal note, over the past year, I have subscribed to a health newsletter advocating, based on scientific evidence, the superiority of the more “natural” forms of food- e.g. organic food in terms of nutrients and the environment.  The past year has been spent trying to eat organic as far as my wallet allows it and minimizing any exposure to pesticides.

Writing this blog post has helped me to understand better the complexities and half-truths of that. From the above, I cannot say that there is scientific prove for this but it still remains a personal choice of mine (i.e. am practicing the precautionary principle here/it is better to be safe than sorry). May I also put forth that there maybe a case made in the minimization of pesticide exposure: given the assumption that conventional agriculture applies pesticide residues at levels legally allowed, one could question the strength of that legal requirement. For example, organophosphates in synthetic agriculture has been correlated to have detrimental mental effects on children, but we are currently prevented from knowing the exact mechanisms because of the nature of its complexity. As Michael Pollen concludes in his response to the hype about the meta-analysis, "the absence of proof means that we either haven't studied it or we haven't found it yet, it doesn't mean we won't. In the meantime, there's a precautionary principle: even though the case isn't closed on low levels of pesticides in our diet, there are very good reasons to minimize them."

Still, does this have other trade-offs that I had not expected?
Does this choice of health conflict with the environment?

DeGerogri argues that the organic movement is but a manifestation of antitechnology elitism when in fact humans are “inherently technological beings” as seen by the developmental path we have taken. Along these lines, the organic movement might be a mindless knee-jerk reactions to the bad of modern agriculture. Does it mean that organic agriculture is all good? Based on the above, no.  But is it all bad? The answer too is no.  Which then is better?

Interestingly, Lawes' conclusion after years of experimentation at Rothamsted was that the idea of "growing as fine crops by the aid of a few pounds of some chemical substances as by the same number of tons of farm-yard dung" was a  delusion. Instead he recommended "selecting a locality where I could obtain a large supply of yard manure at a cheap rate". Now it would be interesting to find out what inclined him to saying that. Along those lines, Joel Salatin and farmers like him aren't advocates (and even oppose to some extent) the organic movement. But they are not advocates of modern industrialized agriculture either.  Perhaps the common denominator is because the idea of 'organic' isn't radically 'natural' enough- natural not in the sense of nothing synthetic but natural in the sense of working really alongside nature in terms of understanding and maximizing sound ecological principles.  And in the process, both health (nutrient quality) and environmental benefits (lower impact farming through higher yields per area and lower pollution) are maximized.

Lepisto argues that perhaps modes of production should be the way to evaluate a product's sustainability and not the 'organic' label or certification. For example, wines can be produced at the same quantity if it is grown in the appropriate climate without the use of any pesticides or insecticides. While there isn't much nutritional benefit between foods with and without the organic label, it might be because of the non-discriminating nature of the term. Organic is often associated with natural but there can still be use of practices that while having no synthetics apply large-scale industrial processes that do not take the health of the animals and crops as first concern. For example, cows can be fed on organic grain but they are not in their most natural habitat of being pasture-fed, with the soil certified organic or not. In fact, healthy fats (omega-6:omega-3 ratio, high CLA which is protective against many lifestyle diseases) are much higher in grass-fed cows as compared to cows on organic stall feed. So it is the same with vegetables where multicropping and biodiverse farming methods (which tend to be on smaller hence less industrial farms)- studies have shown that they boast of higher nutrient levels. To put it in the words of Farmer Kira Kinney of Evolutionary Organics farm (a multi-crop farm) "Large-scale organic is much the same as conventional agriculture in that it is all numbers -- get the most yield in the fewest days." This would then explain the seemingly lack of evidence for going organic in terms of health.

In the end if you ask me, with some proper tweaking especially, I do think that going organic is the lesser of two evils. But apparently, there are alternatives to both modern industrial non-organic and organic farming. And I am really excited to read and find out more ;) Stay tuned!

Alternatives I would be exploring in the subsequent posts:
  1. Biodynamic Farming
  2. Agroforestry
  3. Urban Agriculture
  4. & whatever else interesting crops up ;)

Additional References & Further Reading:

1. Food Politics: What Everyone Needs to Know. Robert Paarlberg. 2010. Oxford University Press. Chapters: "Agriculture, the Environment and Farm Animals" & "Organic Food.
2. Alan Weisman. 2007.The World Without Us. Thomas Dunne Books/St. Martin's Press.
3. John Abraham. 1991. Food and Development: The Political Economy of Hunger and the Modern Diet. WWF & Kogan Page Ltd
4. Organic Agriculture: Fifty (Plus) Shades of Gray.
5. The Truth Behind Organic Labels.



Saturday, 3 November 2012

Ah... the marketing industry. Should have known better. 


BBC One Programme: Rip Off Food: 1. What's the Label?

"Decode the array of nutritional information and discover what goes into a genuine cornish pasty. There is a look at how portion sizes play havoc with calorie count, plus find out how food manufacturers can give an appetising and meaty name to a product that is meat-free and the shortcuts they can take to make cream-free ice cream - it is all legal."

http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/b01nr447/Rip_Off_Food_Whats_in_a_Label/ (available till this Friday!)

Trying to eat well & responsibly isn't as easy as I thought it would be. I have been impressed by movements in recent years to increase consumer awareness about what exactly goes into their food, as seen by more alternative products sprouting around in the supermarkets. But it looks like there is much more to be done! This programme tells us about how companies just make-up names of farm names that do not exist/ show idyllic packaging to make it sound rural or natural. Given the natural bent of supermarkets to manipulation for profits, I guess what's most reliable is to look for the accreditation logos/labels & to know the meaning behind them..

Watched this just after I was feeling a tad silly spending so much time in the supermarket today peering around fish labels to see if they are farmed or line caught and at the vegetable section to see if they are local or imported... haha.

READ THE SMALL PRINTS EVERYONE!
Otherwise you might be paying more for nothing and supporting the wrong causes.

Tuesday, 30 October 2012


Defining "Unacceptable Environmental Change":
A Closer Look at the Problem of Nitrogen use

So, really, where shall we begin? There seems to be too many problems we should address in the environment.  Rockstrom et al.'s highly-embraced (but perhaps oversimplified) concept of 'Planetary boundaries' tells us that when these boundaries are crossed planet earth will enter a completely unknown (and hence distressing) change of state. From this diagram ,we observe  our most pressing concerns- biodiversity loss, and nitrogen use and climate change. This post addresses our use of nitrogen which has very, very strong links to agriculture.



(The black line shows the "safe operating boundaries of our planet")

Synthetic fertilizers- the problem!



It is quite mindboggling  to know that currently, anthropogenic nitrogen fixation exceeds that of all natural processes combined.  Essentially agriculture has been the consuming the bulk of it. The sharp rises in crops yields over the past decades basically correspond well to the amount of nitrogen used.

For a long time (before modern agriculture) farmers had the practice of restoring vigour to the soil by using bones with the use of H2SO4 (sulphuric acid) to digest these bones. Investigations by Justus von Liebig showed that Nitrogen was the key part of amino acids and nucleic acids ( the building blocks of cells). And later he invented the Haber process which converts atmospheric nitrogen into a form usable by plants (N2 → NH3 → Nitrates). Lawes then patented and commercialized the processes, making high amounts of artificial nitrates easily and cheaply available.

The acceleration in nitrogen use was fuelled further by the green revolution. The green revolution was characterized by genetically modifying dominant food crops (e.g. rice, wheat) that increased the grain (edible) production of a plant and decreased straw (inedible) growth. However, the viability of these high yielding varieties was conditional. It depended on higher levels of water and fertilizer. This resulted (alongside the provision of government subsidies) in excessive levels of  nitrogen such that there was a 800% increase in fertilizer per hectare in places like Latin America.

This uninhibited use of fertilizers are not without their drawbacks:

Degradation of ecosystems
Firstly, pollution. Agricultural run-off results in excessive amounts of these fertilizers entering aquatic ecosystems such that eutrophication occurs. This destabilizes the system and wipes out ecosystem services they provide e.g. clean water, biodiversity etc. Unfortunately this is a world-wide phenomenon that is very prevelant.


Health Effects
Secondly, the effects on health pose as an occupational hazard to farmers and the general public. Nitrates that seep into ground water end up in drinking water supplies. When in the body, they are converted to nitrites by bacteria which alters haemoglobin resulting in sicknesses like the Blue Baby Syndrome. Also, acidic juices in stomach convert them into nitrosamines which increase the risk of cancer.

Climate Change
Like most other things, the widespread proliferation of synthetic fertilizers was due to the cheap availability of energy (fossil fuels) to enabled the Haber process. It was concluded by Pimentel in 1974 that to feed entire world with the modern agricultural US system, agriculture would account for 80% of our energy use. An excess of converted atmospheric nitrogen in our atmosphere also gives rise to an increase in greenhouse gas emissions in the form of N2O (from livestock and soil emissions) - a very potent greenhouse gas (300 times more than CO2). In fact, agriculture contributes to more than 1/2 of the anthropogenic emissions of N2O.

Synthetic fertilzers- a problem?

Energy Use

In a helpful review by Jeremy Woodes et. al. (2010), they emphasize the utter reliance of modern agriculture on fossil fuels today. However, fossil fuel inputs including that caused by fertilizer manufacture have yielded positive energy ratios (i.e. energy out put > energy input). Therefore, from this point of view, one can say that synthetic fertilizers are indeed an efficient use of resources. It has also been shown that while agricultural energy use is growing due to increasing food production, it is not like Pimentel predicted "80% of our energy use". Instead, it only accounts about 3% of total consumption today. Technological improvements have definitely contributed to this efficiency (although of course one must take into account the overall increase in energy use).

Reduction in Global use?
Rockstrom et al. (2009) propose the boundary to be "limiting agricultural and industrial nitrogen fixation to 35 x 109 kg/year". As an attempt to view this diagram with some caution, I went about researching on the exact problems of nitrogen.

Blomqvist et al.(2012) argues that there is little evidence supporting the notion that there will be negative effect on humans when we transgress these 'boundaries' and that there are "no global tipping points beyond which ecological processes will begin to function in fundamentally different ways" in regard to 6 of the 9 boundaries (biodiversity loss, nitrogen levels, freshwater use, aerosol loading and chemical pollution)

With regard to nitrogen, he argues that while there are excesses in synthetic nitrogen and the problems of pollution etc. will be relevant, there are also areas (e.g. in Africa) where the soil is depleted of its nutrients and some synthetic fertilizer would help restore the arability of the land. Hence, global limits make no practical sense when nitrogen use is vastly different in various localities. Another point of contention he puts forth is that there is no evidence that excessive inputs of nitrogen level will destabilize human development. Instead, he proposes a view of our environment that allows us to "identify and explicate trade-offs".

In response to these misgivings, Rockstrom et al qualified heir concept. As with many popularizations, concepts get generalized and oversimplified. Firstly, they contend that many of these boundaries act as "slow variables". These variables, though they have not shown be direct causes of drastic change, "act as buffers" which enhance the resilience of the system.

Secondly, they had never claimed that the evidence supported 'planetary tipping points' but instead the evidence has shown that local and regional scaled tipping points do occur worldwide (cumulative change) hence giving them the title of a 'major global concern'. Tipping points exist in systems like the lake ecosystem whereby there exists multiple stable states in ecosystems. In lakes, when excessive nutrient (like N, P) inputs along with other triggers encourage the ball to suddenly tip over a healthy state to another state (which Rockstrom argues as undesirable). To revert from that state would require even larger restorative strategies as compared to a linear system. In other words, we will then be "locked-in".

Conclusion:

The key word in this debate is "global".  Calls for  reductions in nitrogen everywhere i.e. globally are unsupported but misuses, i.e. both too little and too much, are likely to be extremely prevalent and still warrant a global call for concern. This call for concern, in my opinion, should not then be one that single-mindedly calls for a reduction in nitrogen use but rather an informed choice of nitrogen input based on the ecological settings. Nevertheless, it is true that, as seen by the enormous read flare on the diagram and with the knowledge of our rate of nitrogen fixation, we are in dangerous risk of causing unfavourable change.

While we may not exactly know exactly how ecologically detrimental the crossing of these boundaries are on a global scale, it can be argued that the destructiveness of small-scaled local and regional ecological disasters we now observe should at least put considerable caution in our step. Why action now and not later? The argument for that given the "multiple-states" behaviour which ecosystems exhibit, preventive action now will still be rather effective as compared to curative action later which might have little effect. Better stewardship in these areas now not only prevents us from entering that latter state but also enhances the systems resilience (i.e. makes the hump in between higher by increasing redundancy in the system). Rockstrom et al. argue that we do have the ability now for to adopt this paradigm shift in our mindset and "turn crisis into opportunity" if governments and people come onboard. Needless to say this is a big if. And this if depends on whether there are exist more modern, smarter and cheaper solutions of farming.


Additional References:


Food Politics: What Everyone Needs to Know. Robert Paarlberg. 2010. Oxford University Press.

Food and Development: The political economy of hunger and the modern diet.

The political economy of agrarian change, an essay on the green revolution. Griffin. 1974. http://www.cabdirect.org/abstracts/19766710734.html;jsessionid=D7741B36A23D3E120F3DA6A010C70997

Sunday, 21 October 2012

The History of Agriculture (II)

Agriculture Through the Millennia 


The previous post talked about the possible causes for the origin of agriculture. It must be noted that this was not an all or nothing switch from the hunter-gatherer lifestyle to agriculture but instead the transition to and development of agriculture took a slow few thousands of years. Two dominant themes that are thought to be the drivers behind the increasing influence of agriculture are 1) the ability to control food supply and 2) increasing population pressure.

(I will not delve too much into the details/ controversies in theories of the pre-modern period of agricultural evolution because I feel that I do not have the relevant experience in anthropological studies and that it is not really the focus of the blog but is here to provide a more wholesome picture and to point out some relevant and more certain points)

Through the ~10,000 years, archaeological evidence demonstrated that humans selected crops suitable or better adapted to growth in their areas such as rice in Asia, wheat, barley and lentils in the fertile crescent. During the Bronze Age, the Sumerians were said to be the pioneers of intensive agriculture i.e. large-scale mono-cropping systems. This was helped by 1) the fertility of the fertile crescent and 2) the invention of technological know-how that  allowed the harnessing of animal power such as plowing by oxen and practices of irrigation. This gave them more control over the variables that affected the crops they grew.  It was also during that time that the earliest sheep and goats were domesticated.  Later on at around ~3000BC, the common crops of potato, tomato, beans and pepper were cultivated in the New World (Americas). This proliferation of agriculture was said to have occurred through what R. Braidwood calls 'cultural diffusion' between 'nuclear zones'.  Consequently, it was this development of agriculture that formed an important part of the  foundations of transformation to civilizations i.e. cities.

Through the middle-ages and renaissance, agricultural expansion was facilitated by further improvements of irrigation technologies and build-up of farming techniques through greater scientific discovery e.g. invention of crop rotation and sharing of technological know-how such as the mouldboard plough (invented by the Chinese) which greatly improved efficiency. These  technological improvements when coupled to repeated selection of hardy and productive crop strains allowed higher and higher productivity. 

The Global Proliferation of Modern Farming


Still, these developments in agriculture, though they occurred over a span of thousands of years, cannot compare to the massive change which occurred during the period of industrial agriculture which came about with the industrial revolution. And this is where we get to the grit of the matter, where agriculture crosses paths with global environmental change. First in the sense of  cumulative change (e.g. landuse changes in local areas summed up to affect large proportion of the world) and later systemic change (e.g. emissions of greenhouse gases from crop cultivation or livestock rearing).  In subsequent posts, I will attempt to address the significant events in modern agriculture and their environmental impact (both good and bad) through recent decades. These areas include (not exhaustively):

Issues/ Problems:
  1. Agricultural Landuse
  1. Use of Mechanical help & Long-distance Transport
    • Came about due to the availability of fossil fuels for energy
  1. Use of Fertilisers
    • Came about with the knowledge of what nutrients plants need & processes to artificially synthesize them
  1. Use of Pesticides
    • Came about due to the manufacture of chemicals in WWII
  1. Concentrated Animal Feeding Operation
    • Came about with the knowledge of vitamins, growth hormones and antibiotics
  1. The Green Revolution

Proposed solutions:
  1. Organic farming
  1. Sustainable Agriculture
 etc.

So, what can we draw from all of the history of agriculture?
Once again, we can see that the development of agriculture through the  years drew upon the expertise of technological and scientific knowledge (allowing the 'exploitation' of the natural environment). The question I would like to ask is: how beneficial has this development been? Has sound scientific knowledge really informed this development? These, of course, are highly contentious questions.

For one, it has indeed supported the prolific growth of the human population which otherwise would have been quite impossible (food production doubled four times between 1820 and 1975) while reducing the manpower and freeing up our time for countless other activities. Still, the environmental impacts of these decisions have never been more telling and lucid than they are today. Many nay-sayers, witnessing the onslaught of the degradation of both environment and human health brought about by many modern practices have hailed for a return to a back-to-the-past farming model. However, I would like to put forth that in this evolution of agriculture, while it might have veered off the course more than we would have liked, can't be all bad. Surely some techniques were grounded in sound ecological principles and should continue to be upheld into the future. I am looking forward to teasing out, as much as I can, what exactly these might be and searching out alternatives where we have failed so far.

References:
1. John Abraham. 1991. Food and Development: The Political Economy of Hunger and the Modern Diet. WWF & Kogan Page Ltd.
4. Robert J. Braidwood. 1979. "The Agricultural Revolution". Hunter, Farmers and Civilization: Old World Archaeology. http://pleasanton.k12.ca.us/avhsweb/murphyc/web/apworld/summer/farm.pdf



Tuesday, 16 October 2012

A Quick Overview of the History of Agriculture


 (Start watching from 1min mark for the relevant part on Agriculture)



Love how informative and entertaining this video is! I always find videos/documentaries really helpful learning aids, although generalisations are inevitable in such condensed nuggets, they are still very good overviews/ introductions to get one interested... 

So in addition to referring to the academic literature, you can expect me to post many video links on this blog ;)


I find his short rant end especially helpful as I read up about how agriculture changed through the years: 

"Many people made the choice for agriculture independently, but does that mean it is the right choice? Maybe so, and maybe not. But regardless, we can't unmake that choice. And that's one of the reasons I think it's so important to study history. History reminds us that revolutions are not so much events than they are processes. For tens of thousands of years, people have made decisions that have irrevocably shaped the world we live in today…  " 

Hmm, food-for-thought.

Looking forward to seeing what processes exactly led to agriculture as it is today (and indeed the once-unimaginable possibility of a  99C double cheeseburger)... 

See ya soon

Friday, 12 October 2012

The History of Agriculture (I)



Before I delve into the specific mechanisms of the interaction between agriculture and our climate, I thought I should understand more about the origins and evolution of agriculture through the years

So in a 2-part series, here's a flash through agriculture in the past 10,000 years…

Part I : Origins of Agriculture


Where did Agriculture emerge?

It emerged in various locations across the globe e.g. Near East,  China, sub-Saharan Africa, Mexico, Easter U.S..   The interesting point here is that they all emerged at roughly the same time. This is allows for the many theories as to why they emerged as we will see below...

When did Agriculture first emerge?

It is estimated that even although cognitively modern humans have existed 50,000 years ago, yet the most recent evidence of agricultural practices occurred only around ~10,000 years ago. Since the immediate physical and cognitive development of humans were not the cause of agriculture, what then triggered the transition from a hunter-gatherer lifestyle?

Why did Agriculture emerge?


Universal stress-related triggers:

Climate Change
#1:Transition out of the ice age (Richerson et al., 2001)
 Several scientists postulate that origins of agriculture should round about coincide with the start of the Late Glacial Period prior to the Holocene (the Holocene is the current interglacial we are in which began 11.5-11.6 (cal) ka BP). This period was characterised by warmer, wetter and more stable conditions which enabled the domestication of plants and animals i.e. agriculture.

Evidence #1?
There is a gap here as evidence. The first evidence of agriculture was not found during the first 2000 years of  warming after the Last Glacial Maxima. Instead it occurs only much later. Hence some experts subscribe to this other view…:

#2: Oasis Hypothesis  (Childe, 1930s)
Other Scientists postulate that it was instead because of the harsh conditions that occurred in the Younger Dryas (sudden cooling/ climate reversal during the warming) that humans were relegated to remain in more hospitable locations. The concentration of humans in these areas (i.e. labour for agriculture) and unfavourable hunting and gathering conditions were probably what sparked the transition to agriculture.

Evidence #2?
The first evidence of agriculture coincides with this period. This was a worldwide climatic event, supporting the observation of independent transitions worldwide at the same time.

Technological Innovation
Akin to "Light-bulb invention" (E.g. Olsson and Hibbs, 2005):
There was relatively sudden invention of technologies due to improving climatic conditions which led to satiation and hence energy and time aside from fighting for survival. These technologies allowed humans to explore the realm of domesticating of crops and animals.

Evidence?
This theory does not account for the similar time but independent locations of the first instances of agriculture. 

Population Boom:
Population Pressure Hypothesis (E.g. Cohen, 1997):
The population was growing so large that it was putting pressure on the resources available in the wild. This was a worldwide phenomena.

Evidence?
There was no sign of decreasing standards of living for prior to the advent of agriculture (i.e. no pressure)  and the population on Earth then was relatively small. While this is a possibility, the transition could have very well occurred otherwise.

Universal stress-free models:

Social Models: (E.g. Cauvin 2000 & Haydn, 2003)
This theory occurs based on the assumption that the origins of agriculture occurred in a time of abundance. The move towards agriculture was hence a manifestation of the innate tendency to attain self-actualisation or self-aggrandisement.

Evidence? (Regional)
In the Near East, there was no evidence of complete domestication during the Younger Dryas. Instead, there were Natufian communities remained as hunters and gatherers. Hence the need for alternative explanations like this.

Some thoughts on the above:

Although it is unclear which was the fundamental factor that sparked the initial transition, it is agreeable that without the favourable climatic conditions, it would not have been possible for agriculture to be sustained thereafter. The unfavourable conditions of the last glacial period/ ice age (100 to 11.5 Ka) prevented any form of agricultural activity (e.g. temperature and atmospheric CO2 concentrations were low) and  would have probably rendered agriculture unfeasible even given other triggers or factors. Instead, following the Younger Dryas, warming continued allowing the favourable conditions facilitating the expansion of agriculture. Propagating this more productive form of food production also meant a more stable food source which would allow greater population expansion. The productivity of agriculture was also enhanced by another positive-feedback: the domestication of animals also meant the concomitant selection of animals with more productive traits. From this point forth, humans didn't look back and agriculture became the dominant and, as several Scientists have put it, "compulsory" food source.

Still, the conclusion by Zeder & Smith (2009) makes sense to me (especially in light of recent evidence showing nuanced differences between the locations) that it is probably inadequate to assume a single causation for the advent of agriculture (although some factors might be more consequential and far-reaching than other s e.g. climate).  Rather, it is probably a result of macro- and micro-scale factors: common broad factors which nudged the move but different strategies employed which were tailored to immediate conditions.

For me, this brief investigation into the origins of agriculture sets the stage in giving us insight into the multi-factorial nature of agricultural systems and it is inadequate to analyse the past or predict the future of  these systems based on a certain factor. This reveals that if any favourable change is to be made, it will need to muster the will and knowledge of experts and peoples from all areas of society. In addition, strategies that are hailed as the solution to 'the world's problems' must be treated with caution due to the extremely variable environmental, social and political conditions worldwide that are sometimes overlooked.

In so far as this blog aims to view agriculture from the environmental perspective, it would also like to view the solutions in its wider context and complexities (And that, I will leave to a later date to for further discovery :))

Coming up…!
History of Agriculture (II): Evolution of Agriculture through the years. How did agriculture get to where it is now?

References:
1. Dow et al.  August 2005.  The Transition to Agriculture: Climate reversals, population density, and technical change. http://www.sfu.ca/~gdow/download/agriculture805.pdf

2. Zeder & Smith. October 2009. A Conversation on Agriculture Origins. Current Anthropology. http://anthropology.si.edu/archaeobio/images/zeder_smith_crowdedroom2009.pdf
(If interested, a fellow blogger, Rob shares his thoughts on this article here: http://robs-agriculture.blogspot.co.uk/2011/10/agricultural-origins-roots-of-change.html)